Betting Lines
| Spread | TENN -28.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TENN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TENN +35 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | TENN -30.1 (+4.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.7 (+2.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TENN -28.7 (+6.3) | 137.7 (-4.7) | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TENN -28.6 (+6.4) | 134.4 (-1.4) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TENN -24.4 (+10.6) | 133.9 (-0.9) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TENN -27.4 (+7.6) | 135.9 (-2.9) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TENN | EKU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-11 | 23-14 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 12-6 |
| Home | 14-2 | 14-2 |
| Away | 4-6 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 7-3 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.8 | 73.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 57.9 | 73.7 |
| Massey | 20.2 (#3) | -4.6 (#259) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.54 (#22) | -0.30 (#206) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.32 (#26) | -1.53 (#276) |
| RPI | 0.631 (#21) | 0.490 (#190) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TENN | EKU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.7% | 41.5% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 40.0 | 36.7 |
| OREB / G | 14.4 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.24 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.4% | 47.7% |
| TOV% | 20.6% | 19.8% |
| ORB% | 39.4% | 29.1% |
| FT Rate | 30.3% | 14.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 38.8% | 54.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 29.2% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 72.2% | 73.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.3% | 16.1% |
Game Analysis
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