Betting Lines
| Spread | CMU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | CMU -110 RMU +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RMU +5 | 137 | Lost |
| Massey | CMU -7.4 (-12.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.2 (+0.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CMU -4.5 (-9.5) | 137.2 (-0.2) | 65% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CMU -4.6 (-9.6) | 138.3 (-1.3) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CMU -4.6 (-9.6) | 136.7 (+0.3) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CMU -4.5 (-9.5) | 137.4 (-0.4) | 68% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CMU | RMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-21 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 10-10 |
| Home | 6-8 | 11-4 |
| Away | 3-12 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.7 | 67.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.0 | 67.7 |
| Massey | -1.7 (#209) | -3.8 (#243) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.13 (#283) | -2.06 (#325) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.98 (#297) | -1.61 (#283) |
| RPI | 0.414 (#302) | 0.366 (#349) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CMU | RMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.5% | 41.8% |
| 3PT% | 28.2% | 31.0% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 32.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.5% | 46.6% |
| TOV% | 19.9% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 27.8% | 27.3% |
| FT Rate | 19.7% | 13.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.6% | 51.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.6% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 67.8% | 68.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.3% | 19.3% |
Game Analysis
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