Betting Lines
| Spread | UNLV -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Over |
| Money | UNLV -275 HAW +260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNLV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNLV +15 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | UNLV -5.5 (+9.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 125.5 (+13.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNLV -4.1 (+10.9) | 130.9 (+8.1) | 70% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNLV -3.9 (+11.1) | 130.0 (+9.0) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNLV -4.4 (+10.6) | 129.9 (+9.1) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNLV -4.3 (+10.7) | 131.4 (+7.6) | 65% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNLV | HAW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-13 | 22-11 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 13-7 |
| Home | 9-7 | 13-5 |
| Away | 5-5 | 6-4 |
| Neutral | 5-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.6 | 66.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.5 | 62.0 |
| Massey | 7.9 (#60) | 2.4 (#129) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.41 (#9) | -0.43 (#220) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.51 (#12) | 0.04 (#175) |
| RPI | 0.672 (#5) | 0.453 (#247) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNLV | HAW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.5% | 31.1% |
| REB / G | 35.7 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 1.18 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.8% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 29.5% | 32.5% |
| FT Rate | 27.4% | 19.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.7% | 43.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 30.2% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 71.7% | 72.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.3% | 17.2% |
Game Analysis
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