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Baseline Tuned — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
7–2 on winners
spread MAE 12.9
9 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rutgers
@
Ohio State
|
+3.4 | 136.3 | 66% | 66–67 | ✓ |
UMass Lowell
@
Massachusetts
|
+4.4 | 142.3 | 63% | 85–80 | ✗ |
Marshall
@
Duquesne
|
+2.6 | 149.5 | 58% | 82–71 | ✗ |
Iowa State
@
Iowa
|
+4.9 | 138.1 | 67% | 56–75 | ✓ |
St. Thomas
@
Montana State
|
+3.5 | 145.9 | 62% | 65–82 | ✓ |
Michigan
@
Minnesota
|
-1.5 | 136.3 | 46% | 90–75 | ✓ |
Colorado State
@
Colorado
|
+6.7 | 143.1 | 73% | 65–93 | ✓ |
Jacksonville State
@
Utah
|
+17.4 | 138.5 | 89% | 58–99 | ✓ |
Stony Brook
@
Bryant
|
+14.6 | 147.4 | 89% | 60–79 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.