Betting Lines
| Spread | UTAH -15.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
| Money | UTAH -1600 JXST +750 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTAH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTAH +41 | 157 | Won |
| Massey | UTAH -20.1 (+20.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.8 (+23.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTAH -18.6 (+22.4) | 138.1 (+18.9) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTAH -14.5 (+26.5) | 141.3 (+15.7) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTAH -17.4 (+23.6) | 138.5 (+18.5) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTAH -17.6 (+23.4) | 139.2 (+17.8) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTAH | JXST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 13-18 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 6-12 |
| Home | 12-6 | 9-5 |
| Away | 4-7 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L6 | W2 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.7 | 67.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.8 | 71.2 |
| Massey | 12.1 (#31) | -2.9 (#226) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.03 (#41) | -0.63 (#237) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.44 (#56) | -1.35 (#264) |
| RPI | 0.584 (#62) | 0.481 (#208) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTAH | JXST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 42.4% |
| 3PT% | 37.3% | 39.2% |
| REB / G | 43.4 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.0% | 50.9% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 21.0% |
| ORB% | 32.5% | 27.0% |
| FT Rate | 24.0% | 21.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 38.1% | 51.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.7% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 71.0% | 70.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.1% | 25.6% |
Game Analysis
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