Betting Lines
| Spread | VAN -3.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | VAN -165 PITT +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VAN +1 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | VAN -3.2 (-2.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.7 (+12.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 59% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VAN -2.5 (-1.5) | 136.1 (+12.9) | 55% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VAN -3.8 (-2.8) | 136.1 (+12.9) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VAN -3.0 (-2.0) | 137.6 (+11.4) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | VAN -3.2 (-2.2) | 137.9 (+11.1) | 56% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 25, 2021 | VAN 68 – 52 PITT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VAN | PITT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-15 | 24-12 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 14-6 |
| Home | 14-6 | 14-3 |
| Away | 5-6 | 7-5 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.9 | 75.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.5 | 69.7 |
| Massey | 3.2 (#115) | 5.3 (#88) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.46 (#138) | 1.19 (#83) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.98 (#123) | 2.19 (#66) |
| RPI | 0.531 (#129) | 0.557 (#92) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VAN | PITT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.4% | 32.8% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 39.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.5% | 51.3% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 20.5% |
| ORB% | 25.6% | 32.9% |
| FT Rate | 16.0% | 25.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.7% | 45.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 75.6% | 72.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.0% | 19.6% |
Game Analysis
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