Betting Lines
| Spread | VAN -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 131.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PITT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VAN +16 | 120 | Lost |
| Massey | VAN -0.9 (-15.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 123.0 (-3.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VAN -1.0 (-15.0) | 130.6 (-10.6) | 39% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VAN -1.3 (-14.7) | 130.4 (-10.4) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PITT -0.1 (-16.1) | 131.1 (-11.1) | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PITT -0.1 (-16.1) | 131.7 (-11.7) | 45% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 8, 2022 | VAN 75 – 74 PITT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PITT | VAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 19-17 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 7-11 |
| Home | 9-11 | 11-8 |
| Away | 2-9 | 5-8 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-2 | 3-1 |
| Streak | L5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 61.5 | 70.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.1 | 67.8 |
| Massey | -3.9 (#247) | 4.1 (#99) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.57 (#223) | -0.14 (#192) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.03 (#231) | 0.16 (#172) |
| RPI | 0.492 (#195) | 0.522 (#146) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PITT | VAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.9% | 40.9% |
| 3PT% | 24.4% | 28.0% |
| REB / G | 40.5 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.8 | 12.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.78 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.7% | 47.4% |
| TOV% | 26.0% | 20.2% |
| ORB% | 37.5% | 32.9% |
| FT Rate | 29.1% | 28.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.9% | 46.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.8% | 27.9% |
| DRB% | 72.1% | 74.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 13.8% | 20.2% |
Game Analysis
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