Bitch, I'm me! "Stand Up" - Ludacris
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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40–10 on winners spread MAE 10.3 51 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Kentucky @ Michigan State -4.7 132.5 29% 77–86 ✗
Winthrop @ Auburn +11.6 140.9 84% 65–89 ✓
Buffalo @ UConn +21.1 150.0 91% 64–84 ✓
Washington State @ Prairie View A&M — — — 59–70 —
Morgan State @ Akron +6.0 145.1 73% 59–65 ✓
Bowling Green @ Wright State +4.8 150.7 67% 71–80 ✓
Bucknell @ Saint Peter's +1.8 138.2 50% 71–82 ✓
Mercer @ Georgia State +1.0 138.5 50% 83–85 ✓
James Madison @ Howard -9.8 158.7 22% 95–69 ✓
Stony Brook @ Rhode Island +4.8 128.9 67% 64–74 ✓
New Hampshire @ Fordham +2.8 146.1 58% 61–79 ✓
Pennsylvania @ Drexel +11.1 142.5 83% 64–59 ✗
Dartmouth @ Quinnipiac +16.2 154.8 89% 72–81 ✓
Rice @ Middle Tennessee +11.6 150.9 86% 46–81 ✓
Queens University @ La Salle +6.5 150.0 74% 60–72 ✓
Central Connecticut @ St. John's +18.4 153.2 89% 74–91 ✓
Binghamton @ Maryland +10.1 140.4 76% 52–76 ✓
Morehead State @ West Virginia +19.2 134.6 90% 57–75 ✓
Vanderbilt @ Temple +8.4 138.3 75% 89–87 ✗
Utah Valley @ Wake Forest +9.9 140.8 82% 65–68 ✓
Colgate @ Syracuse +5.9 154.5 71% 80–68 ✗
Florida A&M @ Miami +19.3 132.2 90% 61–87 ✓
South Carolina Upstate @ Clemson +13.8 136.5 87% 70–81 ✓
Alcorn State @ Stephen F. Austin +7.3 142.7 71% 69–60 ✗
Chattanooga @ Ole Miss +13.4 143.3 85% 58–70 ✓
Gardner-Webb @ North Carolina +9.1 146.4 81% 66–72 ✓
Pacific @ North Dakota +2.3 155.3 62% 93–63 ✗
Eastern Michigan @ Bradley +2.9 151.2 63% 61–89 ✓
Oral Roberts @ Texas Southern +3.2 146.1 64% 82–64 ✗
St. Bonaventure @ South Dakota State +4.8 144.2 70% 62–66 ✓
New Mexico @ SMU +8.2 145.7 80% 84–63 ✗
UNC Wilmington @ Oklahoma +5.8 125.7 63% 53–74 ✓
SIU Edwardsville @ Missouri +9.8 159.0 80% 80–105 ✓
Marquette @ Purdue +5.6 140.2 72% 70–75 ✓
San Diego State @ Stanford +4.4 142.3 64% 74–62 ✗
Montana State @ Oregon +2.4 130.9 43% 51–81 ✓
Fairfield @ Xavier +14.8 147.4 87% 65–78 ✓
Memphis @ Saint Louis +11.3 148.9 80% 84–90 ✓
Green Bay @ Wisconsin +20.7 130.0 90% 45–56 ✓
Florida International @ NC State +19.8 149.9 89% 74–107 ✓
Alabama @ South Alabama -1.7 142.3 44% 65–55 ✓
Alabama State @ San José State +20.2 141.9 91% 57–70 ✓
Cal State Northridge @ California Baptist +0.5 130.6 45% 55–62 ✓
Loyola Marymount @ UC Irvine +16.1 145.6 88% 64–79 ✓
California @ UC San Diego +3.9 135.1 59% 62–64 ✓
Duke @ Kansas -3.8 133.0 35% 64–69 ✗
Dayton @ UNLV +5.7 138.6 66% 52–60 ✓
Vermont @ USC +9.2 146.8 78% 57–59 ✓
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Kent State +16.7 140.2 88% 68–94 ✓
Sacred Heart @ UMass Lowell +21.2 156.5 90% 81–90 ✓
Michigan @ Pittsburgh -5.7 142.7 26% 91–60 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.