Betting Lines
| Spread | CLEM -20.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | CLEM -2500 UPST +1400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLEM +11 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | CLEM -22.0 (-11.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.1 (+17.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CLEM -15.5 (-4.5) | 134.2 (+16.8) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLEM -13.8 (-2.8) | 136.5 (+14.5) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CLEM | UPST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 10-8 |
| Home | 15-2 | 11-2 |
| Away | 5-6 | 4-12 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 67.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.9 | 70.8 |
| Massey | 0.7 (#169) | -11.4 (#343) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.18 (#157) | -0.38 (#215) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.43 (#151) | -0.59 (#228) |
| RPI | 0.688 (#67) | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CLEM | UPST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.1% | 27.8% |
| 3PT% | 35.0% | 30.4% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 27.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 7.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.52 | 0.26 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.6% | 34.3% |
| TOV% | 15.2% | 32.4% |
| ORB% | 28.2% | 17.9% |
| FT Rate | 14.3% | 1.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.1% | 49.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.9% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 68.4% | 50.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 13.3% | 25.0% |
Game Analysis
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