Betting Lines
| Spread | WRST -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 157.5 Under |
| Money | WRST -275 BGSU +275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WRST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WRST +9 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | WRST -10.4 (-1.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.2 (-7.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 66% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WRST -4.8 (+4.2) | 151.1 (-0.1) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WRST -4.1 (+4.9) | 150.7 (+0.3) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WRST -4.8 (+4.2) | 150.7 (+0.3) | 67% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 13, 2020 | WRST 85 – 67 BGSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WRST | BGSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 11-20 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 5-13 |
| Home | 9-6 | 7-9 |
| Away | 7-8 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-1 | 2-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.3 | 74.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.7 | 79.1 |
| Massey | -3.8 (#260) | -4.2 (#269) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.50 (#235) | 0.91 (#82) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.91 (#261) | 0.90 (#103) |
| RPI | 0.479 (#200) | 0.531 (#138) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WRST | BGSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.8% | 42.1% |
| 3PT% | 28.3% | 39.1% |
| REB / G | 39.0 | 41.5 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 14.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.24 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 49.6% |
| TOV% | 15.0% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 26.7% | 37.3% |
| FT Rate | 11.1% | 24.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.5% | 53.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.2% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 80.6% | 83.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.0% | 16.8% |
Game Analysis
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