Betting Lines
| Spread | BGSU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.0 Over |
| Money | BGSU -120 WRST +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BGSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WRST +18 | 152 | Lost |
| Massey | BGSU -8.4 (-26.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.0 (-4.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BGSU -6.8 (-24.8) | 152.8 (-0.8) | 75% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BGSU -4.4 (-22.4) | 150.4 (+1.6) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BGSU -7.1 (-25.1) | 150.0 (+2.0) | 77% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BGSU -6.9 (-24.9) | 150.4 (+1.6) | 71% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 16, 2022 | WRST 80 – 71 BGSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BGSU | WRST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-12 | 18-6 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 16-4 |
| Home | 4-7 | 9-4 |
| Away | 10-3 | 9-2 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-1 | 1-1 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.1 | 82.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.9 | 67.4 |
| Massey | 1.9 (#118) | -0.4 (#159) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.14 (#31) | -0.33 (#187) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.90 (#44) | -0.41 (#179) |
| RPI | 0.653 (#33) | 0.639 (#36) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BGSU | WRST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 42.3% |
| 3PT% | 37.6% | 35.0% |
| REB / G | 37.5 | 42.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.4% | 48.0% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 20.5% |
| ORB% | 27.8% | 27.2% |
| FT Rate | 35.5% | 13.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.3% | 39.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.6% | 19.2% |
| DRB% | 72.0% | 71.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.0% | 21.4% |
Game Analysis
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