Betting Lines
| Spread | FOR -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
| Money | FOR -300 UNH +275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FOR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FOR +18 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | FOR -3.8 (+14.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.9 (-8.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FOR -3.0 (+15.0) | 144.7 (-4.7) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FOR -1.8 (+16.2) | 150.1 (-10.1) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FOR -2.8 (+15.2) | 146.1 (-6.1) | 58% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 1, 2024 | FOR 83 – 61 UNH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FOR | UNH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-8 | 15-15 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 9-7 |
| Home | 18-2 | 11-4 |
| Away | 6-5 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-1 | 1-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.0 | 64.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.6 | 68.0 |
| Massey | -5.8 (#290) | 0.3 (#177) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.28 (#196) | 0.40 (#139) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.52 (#213) | 0.56 (#134) |
| RPI | 0.438 (#227) | 0.500 (#146) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FOR | UNH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.1% | 52.8% |
| 3PT% | 32.4% | 54.2% |
| REB / G | 32.0 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 6.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.40 | 1.62 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.7% | 65.1% |
| TOV% | 27.6% | 12.6% |
| ORB% | 27.1% | 20.7% |
| FT Rate | 18.9% | 26.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.6% | 52.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 12.4% |
| DRB% | 67.6% | 84.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.2% | 35.3% |
Game Analysis
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