Betting Lines
| Spread | FOR -15.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | FOR -1500 UNH +875 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FOR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FOR +22 | 144 | Won |
| Massey | FOR -16.0 (+6.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.0 (+5.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FOR -11.6 (+10.4) | 138.4 (+5.6) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FOR -12.3 (+9.7) | 138.9 (+5.1) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FOR -11.0 (+11.0) | 139.1 (+4.9) | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FOR -10.6 (+11.4) | 140.7 (+3.3) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 16, 2022 | FOR 79 – 61 UNH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FOR | UNH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-21 | 8-24 |
| Conference | 3-15 | 6-10 |
| Home | 8-8 | 6-7 |
| Away | 2-10 | 2-15 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.5 | 64.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.5 | 77.2 |
| Massey | -4.6 (#252) | -15.0 (#354) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.07 (#268) | -3.59 (#360) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.01 (#287) | -5.49 (#361) |
| RPI | 0.447 (#273) | 0.326 (#361) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FOR | UNH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.1% | 38.9% |
| 3PT% | 31.4% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 33.1 | 32.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.1% | 45.5% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 20.7% |
| ORB% | 27.2% | 25.1% |
| FT Rate | 19.8% | 18.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.4% | 53.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.4% | 14.7% |
| DRB% | 68.2% | 66.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.8% | 21.1% |
Game Analysis
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