Betting Lines
| Spread | PUR -8.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PUR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PUR +5 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | PUR -8.6 (-3.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.8 (+7.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PUR -5.6 (-0.6) | 140.2 (+4.8) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PUR -7.5 (-2.5) | 140.0 (+5.0) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PUR -8.2 (-3.2) | 139.2 (+5.8) | 72% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 13, 2025 | PUR 79 – 59 MARQ |
| Nov 20, 2024 | MARQ 76 – 58 PUR |
| Nov 22, 2023 | PUR 78 – 75 MARQ |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PUR | MARQ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 29-6 | 29-7 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 17-3 |
| Home | 14-2 | 16-1 |
| Away | 7-3 | 8-4 |
| Neutral | 7-1 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 2-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.7 | 79.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.7 | 70.3 |
| Massey | 3.2 (#112) | 4.6 (#83) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.71 (#100) | 0.76 (#96) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.00 (#94) | 1.05 (#92) |
| RPI | 0.500 (#146) | 0.688 (#67) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PUR | MARQ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.5% | 49.6% |
| 3PT% | 26.4% | 31.6% |
| REB / G | 47.0 | 38.0 |
| OREB / G | 16.0 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.24 | 1.41 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.3% | 56.8% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 45.1% | 26.8% |
| FT Rate | 25.8% | 27.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 36.7% | 47.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.0% | 23.1% |
| DRB% | 78.5% | 77.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 12.4% | 21.5% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.