Betting Lines
| Spread | SMU -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Under |
| Money | SMU -150 UNM +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNM +21 | 147 | Lost |
| Massey | SMU -15.0 (-36.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.5 (-0.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SMU -9.3 (-30.3) | 147.2 (-0.2) | 83% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SMU -8.2 (-29.2) | 145.7 (+1.3) | 80% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 19, 2021 | SMU 90 – 72 UNM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SMU | UNM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 22-12 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 8-10 |
| Home | 7-9 | 15-5 |
| Away | 1-11 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-1 | 2-0 |
| Streak | L4 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.2 | 80.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.6 | 74.6 |
| Massey | 3.5 (#104) | -1.5 (#217) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.56 (#124) | 0.76 (#94) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.03 (#93) | 0.95 (#99) |
| RPI | 0.583 (#101) | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SMU | UNM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.5% | 46.0% |
| 3PT% | 22.0% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 39.0 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 2.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.1% | 51.2% |
| TOV% | 15.0% | 12.0% |
| ORB% | 30.1% | 28.6% |
| FT Rate | 22.8% | 31.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.0% | 55.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.8% | 23.0% |
| DRB% | 67.5% | 72.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.8% | 10.2% |
Game Analysis
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