Betting Lines
| Spread | DUKE -0.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | KU -111 DUKE -115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KU +5 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | DUKE -6.9 (+11.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.3 (+4.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 45% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 42% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DUKE -1.6 (+6.6) | 133.4 (-0.4) | 44% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | DUKE -3.4 (+8.4) | 133.1 (-0.1) | 36% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 19, 2025 | DUKE 78 – 66 KU |
| Nov 27, 2024 | KU 75 – 72 DUKE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KU | DUKE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-8 | 27-9 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 14-6 |
| Home | 15-1 | 16-0 |
| Away | 7-4 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 6-3 | 7-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 2-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.4 | 72.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.1 | 63.6 |
| Massey | 6.3 (#57) | 13.3 (#11) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.56 (#123) | 0.76 (#93) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.82 (#113) | 1.13 (#87) |
| RPI | 0.542 (#128) | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KU | DUKE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.4% | 44.9% |
| 3PT% | 38.1% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 44.5 | 48.0 |
| OREB / G | 14.5 | 18.0 |
| AST / TO | 2.56 | 1.40 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.0% | 51.6% |
| TOV% | 12.7% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 39.2% | 48.6% |
| FT Rate | 9.2% | 18.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.5% | 35.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 26.1% |
| DRB% | 80.0% | 81.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.0% | 5.6% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.