Betting Lines
| Spread | DUKE -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | DUKE -190 KU +160 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DUKE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KU +3 | 147 | Lost |
| Massey | DUKE -13.6 (-16.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.4 (+5.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 10% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 3% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DUKE -8.1 (-11.1) | 146.5 (+0.5) | 69% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DUKE -7.5 (-10.5) | 142.7 (+4.3) | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DUKE -6.9 (-9.9) | 141.5 (+5.5) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | DUKE -7.5 (-10.5) | 142.0 (+5.0) | 74% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 19, 2025 | DUKE 78 – 66 KU |
| Nov 16, 2022 | KU 69 – 64 DUKE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DUKE | KU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 35-4 | 21-13 |
| Conference | 19-1 | 11-9 |
| Home | 17-0 | 14-3 |
| Away | 10-1 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 8-3 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 83.2 | 76.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.8 | 69.6 |
| Massey | 25.5 (#2) | 11.9 (#35) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.38 (#80) | 3.58 (#8) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.23 (#79) | 5.69 (#9) |
| RPI | 0.600 (#54) | 0.734 (#9) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DUKE | KU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.0% | 51.6% |
| 3PT% | 37.0% | 34.3% |
| REB / G | 44.0 | 38.0 |
| OREB / G | 13.2 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.67 | 2.15 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.6% | 57.3% |
| TOV% | 14.8% | 12.9% |
| ORB% | 36.3% | 26.1% |
| FT Rate | 17.7% | 17.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 40.1% | 44.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.5% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 77.4% | 75.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.3% | 23.9% |
Game Analysis
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