Betting Lines
| Spread | KENT -20.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | KENT -10000 UAPB +1600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KENT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KENT +26 | 162 | Won |
| Massey | KENT -22.2 (+3.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.7 (+26.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KENT -19.7 (+6.3) | 139.1 (+22.9) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KENT -17.4 (+8.6) | 139.0 (+23.0) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KENT -16.7 (+9.3) | 140.2 (+21.8) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KENT -19.9 (+6.1) | 137.7 (+24.3) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KENT | UAPB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-7 | 10-21 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 6-12 |
| Home | 15-0 | 8-5 |
| Away | 9-6 | 2-16 |
| Neutral | 4-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 0-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L9 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.2 | 65.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.5 | 72.6 |
| Massey | 9.3 (#29) | -3.0 (#243) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.96 (#23) | -2.08 (#336) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.81 (#24) | -2.34 (#325) |
| RPI | 0.917 (#11) | 0.306 (#288) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KENT | UAPB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.8% | 37.2% |
| 3PT% | 39.6% | 32.4% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 33.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.16 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.9% | 43.3% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 20.4% |
| ORB% | 27.3% | 22.6% |
| FT Rate | 14.4% | 11.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 41.7% | 48.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 27.7% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 62.3% | 72.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.4% | 37.7% |
Game Analysis
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