Betting Lines
| Spread | MISS -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | MISS -600 UTC +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MISS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MISS +12 | 128 | Won |
| Massey | MISS -16.4 (-4.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.3 (-10.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MISS -16.9 (-4.9) | 142.7 (-14.7) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MISS -17.6 (-5.6) | 138.0 (-10.0) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MISS -13.4 (-1.4) | 143.3 (-15.3) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MISS | UTC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-21 | 18-17 |
| Conference | 3-15 | 7-11 |
| Home | 7-10 | 9-7 |
| Away | 2-9 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.5 | 75.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.1 | 74.1 |
| Massey | 6.8 (#52) | 0.4 (#175) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.01 (#20) | -0.44 (#226) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.21 (#15) | -0.61 (#230) |
| RPI | 1.000 (#1) | 0.500 (#146) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MISS | UTC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 49.2% |
| 3PT% | 37.5% | 34.6% |
| REB / G | 42.5 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 17.5 | 13.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.4% | 56.8% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 28.0% |
| ORB% | 48.6% | 38.2% |
| FT Rate | 28.8% | 18.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.8% | 52.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.6% | 19.8% |
| DRB% | 64.9% | 63.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 13.4% | 32.3% |
Game Analysis
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