Betting Lines
| Spread | CBU -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Under |
| Money | CBU -800 CSUN +600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CBU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CBU +7 | 117 | Won |
| Massey | CBU -0.8 (+6.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 122.6 (-5.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 54% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 31% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CBU -0.5 (+6.5) | 130.6 (-13.6) | 45% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CBU -1.5 (+5.5) | 123.7 (-6.7) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CBU -1.7 (+5.3) | 130.3 (-13.3) | 70% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CBU | CSUN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 7-25 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 4-16 |
| Home | 13-5 | 7-8 |
| Away | 4-8 | 0-14 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.8 | 61.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.9 | 69.9 |
| Massey | -8.2 (#321) | 1.0 (#163) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.57 (#350) | -0.65 (#259) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.31 (#353) | -0.82 (#250) |
| RPI | 0.200 (#330) | 0.250 (#304) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CBU | CSUN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.5% | 34.3% |
| 3PT% | 27.8% | 23.8% |
| REB / G | 32.0 | 44.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 21.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 0.46 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.7% | 38.1% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 28.6% | 40.4% |
| FT Rate | 26.9% | 17.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.4% | 51.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.4% | 22.6% |
| DRB% | 74.6% | 76.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.4% | 47.8% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.