Betting Lines
| Spread | LAS -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LAS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LAS +12 | 132 | Won |
| Massey | LAS -11.3 (+0.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.8 (-21.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LAS -7.1 (+4.9) | 151.3 (-19.3) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LAS -9.6 (+2.4) | 144.3 (-12.3) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LAS -6.5 (+5.5) | 150.0 (-18.0) | 74% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LAS | QUC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-19 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 7-11 |
| Home | 8-7 | 8-5 |
| Away | 5-8 | 7-10 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 3-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-1 | 1-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.8 | 75.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 75.5 |
| Massey | -1.2 (#210) | -2.5 (#236) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.49 (#131) | 0.58 (#119) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.67 (#129) | 0.45 (#149) |
| RPI | 0.604 (#95) | 0.750 (#29) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LAS | QUC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.6% | 47.1% |
| 3PT% | 37.5% | 42.3% |
| REB / G | 32.0 | 47.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 17.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 55.1% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 23.1% |
| ORB% | 24.2% | 44.7% |
| FT Rate | 43.6% | 11.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.3% | 50.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 11.0% |
| DRB% | 68.6% | 66.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.7% | 3.8% |
Game Analysis
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