Hallelujah, here she comes. "Skateaway" - Dire Straits
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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21–13 on winners spread MAE 9.5 35 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Florida Gulf Coast @ Tennessee +5.4 139.2 60% 50–81 ✓
Oakland @ Toledo +23.6 156.8 91% 90–112 ✓
Marist @ Lehigh +3.9 143.3 65% 54–64 ✓
Ohio @ Detroit Mercy +3.9 141.4 64% 74–88 ✓
William & Mary @ American University +7.2 141.3 73% 64–71 ✓
Delaware State @ Columbia +3.9 136.7 62% 65–70 ✓
Cincinnati @ Northern Kentucky -3.4 139.7 38% 51–64 ✗
Hampton @ East Carolina +13.6 147.0 87% 73–82 ✓
Cleveland State @ Canisius +1.5 147.2 54% 58–57 ✗
Charleston Southern @ Tulane +13.1 142.7 85% 79–99 ✓
Harvard @ Northeastern +0.8 145.0 53% 70–69 ✗
Eastern Illinois @ Ohio State +22.1 136.4 91% 43–65 ✓
Presbyterian @ UAB +17.4 147.0 88% 61–92 ✓
Iowa @ Seton Hall +5.8 144.0 73% 83–67 ✗
Army @ Siena +16.0 143.0 89% 96–94 ✗
Texas Southern @ Houston +25.8 135.9 91% 48–83 ✓
South Dakota State @ Arkansas +9.2 135.3 76% 56–71 ✓
Valparaiso @ Chicago State -0.8 144.6 48% 74–87 ✗
Southeast Missouri State @ Evansville +5.6 140.0 67% 67–61 ✗
Southern Indiana @ Notre Dame +3.4 151.5 59% 70–82 ✓
Ball State @ Omaha +4.5 146.1 68% 71–61 ✗
Southern @ Saint Mary's +16.2 131.4 86% 54–72 ✓
VCU @ Arizona State -2.1 132.4 39% 59–63 ✗
Missouri State @ BYU — — — 64–66 —
Cal State Bakersfield @ Idaho +5.9 129.9 71% 52–43 ✗
Gonzaga @ Texas +7.2 138.3 68% 74–93 ✓
San Francisco @ Fresno State +3.5 136.7 61% 67–60 ✗
Furman @ Penn State +3.5 150.0 65% 68–73 ✓
Colorado @ Massachusetts -3.9 144.3 29% 63–66 ✗
Old Dominion @ Virginia Tech +6.7 146.6 77% 71–75 ✓
Murray State @ Texas A&M +9.3 145.7 79% 88–79 ✗
Colorado State @ South Carolina -5.7 134.5 28% 85–53 ✓
Saint Francis @ Butler +16.7 139.2 88% 67–95 ✓
Kansas City @ Kansas State +19.9 137.3 90% 53–69 ✓
Nebraska @ St. John's +7.5 149.2 71% 50–70 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.