Betting Lines
| Spread | OSU -31.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Under |
| Money | OSU -8000 EIU +3300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OSU +22 | 108 | Won |
| Massey | OSU -28.9 (-6.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.2 (-20.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OSU -25.6 (-3.6) | 134.1 (-26.1) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OSU -22.1 (-0.1) | 136.4 (-28.4) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OSU | EIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-19 | 9-22 |
| Conference | 5-15 | 5-13 |
| Home | 10-6 | 6-9 |
| Away | 1-10 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 0-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.5 | 66.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.0 | 74.2 |
| Massey | 11.5 (#18) | -8.4 (#321) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.78 (#100) | -2.31 (#347) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.17 (#97) | -3.68 (#350) |
| RPI | — | 0.285 (#313) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OSU | EIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 53.7% | 33.1% |
| 3PT% | 38.9% | 22.0% |
| REB / G | 47.5 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 14.0 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 0.56 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 59.5% | 36.3% |
| TOV% | 20.1% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 47.5% | 24.2% |
| FT Rate | 24.0% | 22.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 36.3% | 51.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.6% | 23.9% |
| DRB% | 73.6% | 63.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 12.5% | 24.1% |
Game Analysis
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