Betting Lines
| Spread | VAL -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | CHST +275 VAL -275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CHST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CHST +13 | 161 | Won |
| Massey | VAL -0.2 (+13.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.0 (+13.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CHST -0.4 (+12.6) | 145.7 (+15.3) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VAL -0.8 (+13.8) | 144.6 (+16.4) | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | VAL -0.3 (+13.3) | 145.1 (+15.9) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VAL -0.0 (+13.0) | 146.8 (+14.2) | 58% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 16, 2023 | CHST 63 – 62 VAL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CHST | VAL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-20 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 0-0 | 5-15 |
| Home | 8-0 | 8-7 |
| Away | 3-20 | 2-12 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.5 | 68.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.3 | 74.0 |
| Massey | -7.2 (#311) | 2.0 (#136) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.22 (#190) | 0.07 (#162) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.43 (#199) | 0.21 (#154) |
| RPI | 0.493 (#191) | 0.531 (#145) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CHST | VAL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 36.4% | 49.6% |
| 3PT% | 27.3% | 36.4% |
| REB / G | 33.3 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.3 | 6.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.77 | 1.36 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 42.3% | 54.5% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 31.4% | 19.1% |
| FT Rate | 19.3% | 13.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.1% | 45.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.4% | 13.6% |
| DRB% | 64.3% | 69.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 32.5% | 22.0% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.