So let the words of our mouth and the meditation of our heart be acceptable in thy sight, O Fari! "By the RIvers of Babylon"-The Melodians
Levien Gymnasium · November 17, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread COLU -7.5 Away covered
O/U 144.5 Under
Money COLU -333 / DSU +320
Model Predictions
Spread Total COLU win
Actual COLU +5 135 Won
Massey COLU -6.3 (-1.3)
Massey Totals 135.9 (-0.9)
Bradley-Terry 77%
Weighted B-T 80%
Baseline Plus ML COLU -2.3 (+2.7) 134.2 (+0.8) 55%
Baseline ML COLU -3.6 (+1.4) 138.3 (-3.3) 63%
Baseline Tuned ML COLU -3.9 (+1.1) 136.7 (-1.7) 62%
Efficiency Plus ML COLU -4.2 (+0.8) 140.5 (-5.5) 72%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 9, 2024 COLU 8362 DSU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings COLU DSU
Overall 7-22 6-24
Conference 2-12 4-10
Home 6-9 4-8
Away 1-13 2-14
Neutral 0-0 0-2
Last 5 0-3 0-2
Streak L2 L4
Avg Pts For 65.3 63.1
Avg Pts Against 77.3 75.8
Massey -10.7 (#340) -8.0 (#317)
Bradley-Terry -2.01 (#336) -1.17 (#303)
W. Bradley-Terry -3.04 (#338) -1.86 (#309)
RPI 0.429 (#245) 0.417 (#249)
Shooting & Four Factors COLU DSU
FG% 36.0% 41.1%
3PT% 23.5% 32.3%
REB / G 33.0 26.0
OREB / G 10.7 5.5
AST / TO 0.60 0.77
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 41.6% 45.8%
TOV% 25.2% 20.4%
ORB% 27.8% 17.5%
FT Rate 22.7% 8.4%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 55.0% 56.1%
Opp TOV% 19.7% 12.7%
DRB% 61.5% 70.7%
Opp FT Rate 16.0% 34.0%

Game Analysis

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