Betting Lines
| Spread | COLU -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Under |
| Money | COLU -900 DSU +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COLU +21 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | COLU -30.4 (-9.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.5 (-11.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COLU -18.4 (+2.6) | 149.3 (-4.3) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLU -16.1 (+4.9) | 147.7 (-2.7) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 17, 2022 | COLU 70 – 65 DSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COLU | DSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-15 | 16-14 |
| Conference | 1-13 | 8-6 |
| Home | 9-6 | 11-2 |
| Away | 3-9 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L7 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.1 | 75.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.6 | 78.6 |
| Massey | 11.8 (#10) | -2.2 (#183) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.08 (#2) | -0.38 (#181) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.27 (#2) | -0.53 (#203) |
| RPI | 1.000 (#1) | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COLU | DSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.1% | 34.7% |
| 3PT% | 31.9% | 30.0% |
| REB / G | 28.5 | 29.0 |
| OREB / G | 7.5 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.38 | 0.50 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.9% | 37.8% |
| TOV% | 14.7% | 23.1% |
| ORB% | 26.3% | 27.0% |
| FT Rate | 43.6% | 46.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.8% | 55.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.4% | 22.0% |
| DRB% | 64.6% | 57.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.8% | 40.0% |
Game Analysis
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