Then she opened up a book of poems and handed it to me, written by an Italian poet from the thirteenth century. "Tangled Up in Blue" - Bob Dylan
Bramlage Coliseum · November 17, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread KSU -19.5 Away covered
O/U 138.5 Under
Money KSU -2000 / KC +1300
Model Predictions
Spread Total KSU win
Actual KSU +16 122 Won
Massey KSU -25.2 (-9.2) — —
Massey Totals — 132.9 (-10.9) —
Bradley-Terry — — 98% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 99% ✓
Baseline Plus ML KSU -25.2 (-9.2) 140.7 (-18.7) 90% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ KSU -21.1 (-5.1) 136.5 (-14.5) 90% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML KSU -19.9 (-3.9) 137.3 (-15.3) 90% ✓
Baseline ML KSU -27.4 (-11.4) 137.0 (-15.0) 90% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Dec 1, 2020 KSU 62 – 58 KC

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings KSU KC
Overall 26-10 11-21
Conference 11-7 7-11
Home 16-1 6-8
Away 4-7 3-11
Neutral 6-2 2-2
Last 5 2-0 0-2
Streak L1 L6
Avg Pts For 76.2 63.0
Avg Pts Against 69.9 69.5
Massey 9.4 (#31) -6.8 (#297)
Bradley-Terry 1.10 (#74) -0.66 (#250)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.32 (#88) -0.92 (#250)
RPI 0.417 (#252) 0.500 (#161)
Shooting & Four Factors KSU KC
FG% 41.5% 32.0%
3PT% 37.0% 15.2%
REB / G 37.5 39.0
OREB / G 13.0 13.0
AST / TO 1.17 0.50
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 48.4% 34.8%
TOV% 19.6% 26.3%
ORB% 33.3% 29.9%
FT Rate 30.1% 21.3%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 44.4% 51.2%
Opp TOV% 32.3% 18.0%
DRB% 74.2% 65.8%
Opp FT Rate 26.5% 29.8%

Game Analysis

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