The juice of the carrot, the smile of the parrot / A little drop of claret - anything that rocks "Reasons to be Cheerful, Part 3" - Ian Dury & the Blockheads
Bramlage Coliseum · December 1, 2020
Betting Lines
Spread KSU -9.5 Away covered
O/U 131.0 Under
Money KSU -550 / KC +425
Model Predictions
Spread Total KSU win
Actual KSU +4 120 Won
Massey KSU -2.5 (+1.5) — —
Massey Totals — 143.1 (-23.1) —
Bradley-Terry — — 68% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 67% ✓
Baseline ML KC -1.9 (+5.9) 139.0 (-19.0) 50% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML KC -1.4 (+5.4) 138.4 (-18.4) 42% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 17, 2022 KSU 69 – 53 KC

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings KSU KC
Overall 9-20 11-13
Conference 4-14 7-7
Home 6-12 8-3
Away 2-7 2-8
Neutral 1-1 0-2
Last 5 0-2 0-1
Streak L1 L3
Avg Pts For 61.6 62.4
Avg Pts Against 69.9 64.6
Massey -11.3 (#230) -1.7 (#150)
Bradley-Terry -2.32 (#232) -1.06 (#197)
W. Bradley-Terry -3.17 (#226) -1.43 (#190)
RPI 0.500 (#77) —
Shooting & Four Factors KSU KC
FG% 44.7% 46.2%
3PT% 37.5% 30.8%
REB / G 29.5 32.0
OREB / G 9.0 7.0
AST / TO 0.84 0.76
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 53.4% 50.0%
TOV% 23.8% 23.3%
ORB% 30.5% 20.0%
FT Rate 17.5% 26.9%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 54.4% 61.0%
Opp TOV% 14.6% 23.7%
DRB% 67.2% 89.3%
Opp FT Rate 29.2% 51.2%

Game Analysis

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