Betting Lines
| Spread | UAB -26.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | UAB -5000 PRES +2500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UAB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UAB +31 | 153 | Won |
| Massey | UAB -18.9 (+12.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.7 (-0.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UAB -19.2 (+11.8) | 149.0 (+4.0) | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UAB -19.0 (+12.0) | 146.8 (+6.2) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UAB -17.4 (+13.6) | 147.0 (+6.0) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UAB -20.6 (+10.4) | 153.1 (-0.1) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UAB | PRES |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 29-10 | 5-27 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 1-17 |
| Home | 17-2 | 5-9 |
| Away | 7-5 | 0-15 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-1 | 0-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L18 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.0 | 61.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.7 | 70.4 |
| Massey | 4.9 (#85) | -5.0 (#277) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.64 (#248) | -0.90 (#270) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.90 (#246) | -1.32 (#278) |
| RPI | 0.531 (#145) | 0.281 (#314) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UAB | PRES |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.5% | 35.0% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 23.8% |
| REB / G | 45.0 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 14.0 | 15.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 0.56 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.7% | 39.3% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 20.3% |
| ORB% | 36.4% | 35.7% |
| FT Rate | 38.8% | 19.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.4% | 53.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.3% | 19.4% |
| DRB% | 69.7% | 68.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.6% | 26.4% |
Game Analysis
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