South Carolina
Gamecocks
53
–
85
FINAL
Neutral
Shriners Children's Charleston Classic
Colorado State
Rams
Betting Lines
| Spread | SC -0.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Over |
| Money | SC -111 CSU -115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CSU +32 | 138 | Lost |
| Massey | CSU -8.3 (-23.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.5 (+6.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 36% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CSU -5.7 (-26.3) | 132.6 (+5.4) | 30% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CSU -6.4 (-25.6) | 133.5 (+4.5) | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CSU -5.7 (-26.3) | 134.5 (+3.5) | 28% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CSU -4.8 (-27.2) | 133.6 (+4.4) | 29% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SC | CSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 15-18 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 6-12 |
| Home | 7-8 | 9-7 |
| Away | 4-8 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 3-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.3 | 71.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 71.3 |
| Massey | -6.8 (#299) | 1.5 (#145) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.90 (#89) | 1.48 (#54) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.98 (#102) | 2.25 (#51) |
| RPI | 0.688 (#48) | 0.639 (#73) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SC | CSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.0% | 52.4% |
| 3PT% | 37.0% | 46.4% |
| REB / G | 45.0 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 16.5 | 3.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.80 | 1.51 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.9% | 61.2% |
| TOV% | 21.2% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 41.8% | 13.4% |
| FT Rate | 22.0% | 28.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.0% | 47.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 20.0% |
| DRB% | 75.0% | 79.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 12.0% | 14.8% |
Game Analysis
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