Betting Lines
| Spread | TULN -20.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | TULN -2500 CHSO +1400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TULN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TULN +20 | 178 | Won |
| Massey | TULN -12.7 (+7.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.0 (+37.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TULN -17.1 (+2.9) | 141.6 (+36.4) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TULN -13.1 (+6.9) | 142.7 (+35.3) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TULN | CHSO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-11 | 10-21 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 5-13 |
| Home | 12-3 | 6-8 |
| Away | 5-4 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.9 | 70.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.2 | 75.4 |
| Massey | 0.9 (#162) | -2.7 (#237) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.51 (#124) | -0.39 (#210) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.72 (#122) | -0.57 (#217) |
| RPI | 0.438 (#234) | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TULN | CHSO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.0% | 33.8% |
| 3PT% | 36.6% | 22.7% |
| REB / G | 39.0 | 28.0 |
| OREB / G | 7.5 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.50 | 0.67 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.1% | 37.7% |
| TOV% | 15.1% | 13.3% |
| ORB% | 23.1% | 25.0% |
| FT Rate | 22.1% | 10.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.8% | 55.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 20.4% |
| DRB% | 85.1% | 54.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.4% | 26.7% |
Game Analysis
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