Betting Lines
| Spread | BALL -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | OMA +150 BALL -150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OMA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BALL +10 | 132 | Lost |
| Massey | OMA -6.0 (-16.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.7 (-18.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | OMA -5.1 (-15.1) | 148.5 (-16.5) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OMA -3.5 (-13.5) | 144.0 (-12.0) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OMA -4.5 (-14.5) | 146.1 (-14.1) | 68% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 13, 2021 | BALL 73 – 69 OMA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OMA | BALL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-23 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 11-7 |
| Home | 5-7 | 12-2 |
| Away | 1-15 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.4 | 75.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.3 | 72.7 |
| Massey | -2.4 (#233) | 0.6 (#167) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.08 (#178) | -0.42 (#215) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.08 (#175) | -0.59 (#218) |
| RPI | 0.521 (#150) | 0.500 (#161) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OMA | BALL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.7% | 41.7% |
| 3PT% | 28.3% | 44.4% |
| REB / G | 31.0 | 38.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 16.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.76 | 0.47 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.1% | 48.3% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 26.4% |
| ORB% | 26.2% | 43.2% |
| FT Rate | 25.1% | 21.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.2% | 57.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 68.8% | 71.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.7% | 25.4% |
Game Analysis
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