He is handing the money / He is serving the food / He knows about your party / He is calling you dude. "Comfort Eagle" - Cake
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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38–12 on winners spread MAE 8.0 50 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Illinois @ Rutgers -2.9 137.0 38% 59–70 ✗
Mississippi State @ Alabama +6.7 153.4 74% 75–80 ✓
Loyola Maryland @ Lafayette -0.5 133.6 47% 68–77 ✗
Boston University @ Holy Cross -7.4 140.9 22% 78–65 ✓
Navy @ American University -9.8 128.9 16% 55–46 ✓
North Carolina A&T @ Hampton -2.1 133.1 39% 82–93 ✗
Winthrop @ Gardner-Webb +5.4 136.7 70% 81–70 ✗
UNC Asheville @ Charleston Southern -7.5 138.2 19% 85–66 ✓
Miami @ Louisville -2.1 144.6 42% 70–63 ✓
Boston College @ Notre Dame +10.4 130.5 84% 95–99 ✓
Vermont @ New Hampshire -7.1 137.7 24% 71–50 ✓
Stony Brook @ UMBC +2.0 149.0 61% 84–95 ✓
UMass Lowell @ NJIT -2.5 136.2 40% 55–59 ✗
Maine @ Hartford +10.1 138.5 85% 65–75 ✓
UAlbany @ Binghamton +1.0 131.2 55% 68–67 ✗
Jacksonville @ Stetson -1.8 133.5 40% 67–45 ✓
Kennesaw State @ Florida Gulf Coast +3.9 153.4 69% 76–82 ✓
Massachusetts @ St. Bonaventure +10.1 152.3 84% 71–83 ✓
George Mason @ Saint Joseph's +0.7 144.1 52% 75–70 ✗
Furman @ Western Carolina -11.3 145.0 16% 103–85 ✓
East Tennessee State @ Mercer +2.0 144.9 63% 56–65 ✓
Wofford @ The Citadel -3.5 150.8 34% 65–58 ✓
Georgia @ LSU +17.4 146.2 90% 65–84 ✓
George Washington @ Duquesne +1.1 137.4 58% 73–52 ✗
Chicago State @ Stephen F. Austin +16.8 139.6 90% 71–88 ✓
North Alabama @ Eastern Kentucky +4.6 145.5 67% 76–80 ✓
La Salle @ Saint Louis +14.7 149.5 88% 64–90 ✓
Georgetown @ Marquette +13.8 155.0 88% 66–77 ✓
Utah Valley @ Tarleton State -1.2 132.9 44% 69–56 ✓
Seattle U @ UT Rio Grande Valley -6.5 150.3 25% 102–62 ✓
Pittsburgh @ North Carolina +12.4 145.7 88% 76–67 ✗
Jacksonville State @ Lipscomb -2.7 146.0 34% 78–67 ✓
Bellarmine @ Central Arkansas -5.0 148.5 28% 79–69 ✓
Loyola Chicago @ Valparaiso -11.4 139.8 15% 71–69 ✓
Evansville @ Drake +14.3 136.1 88% 51–73 ✓
Seton Hall @ UConn +5.5 142.8 71% 65–70 ✓
Vanderbilt @ Auburn +13.1 146.6 87% 80–94 ✓
Purdue @ Northwestern -3.1 150.6 33% 70–64 ✓
Baylor @ Texas Tech +1.8 138.2 59% 73–83 ✓
SMU @ Temple -2.0 138.4 43% 57–64 ✗
Morehead State @ UT Martin -8.8 137.1 21% 68–60 ✓
Utah Tech @ New Mexico State +12.9 143.5 88% 64–75 ✓
Grand Canyon @ California Baptist -3.7 136.1 32% 65–60 ✓
Boise State @ Air Force -12.3 126.0 14% 85–59 ✓
UNLV @ Fresno State +4.8 130.3 71% 60–57 ✗
Gonzaga @ Pepperdine -17.4 161.8 13% 86–66 ✓
Buffalo @ Eastern Michigan -8.5 157.4 21% 83–69 ✓
Minnesota @ Penn State +5.0 129.5 70% 46–67 ✓
Towson @ UNC Wilmington -2.8 139.0 37% 79–55 ✓
Troy @ App State +2.2 130.3 62% 67–61 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.