Betting Lines
| Spread | UVM -9.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UVM +21 | 121 | Lost |
| Massey | UVM -8.6 (-12.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.8 (-12.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 16% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 8% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UVM -6.6 (-14.4) | 129.5 (-8.5) | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UVM -7.1 (-13.9) | 137.7 (-16.7) | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UVM -7.1 (-13.9) | 139.1 (-18.1) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UVM -7.3 (-13.7) | 134.8 (-13.8) | 25% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | UVM 80 – 57 UNH |
| Jan 3, 2026 | UVM 80 – 61 UNH |
| Mar 8, 2025 | UVM 64 – 57 UNH |
| Feb 14, 2025 | UVM 79 – 59 UNH |
| Jan 4, 2025 | UVM 60 – 40 UNH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNH | UVM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-13 | 28-6 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 17-1 |
| Home | 10-4 | 16-0 |
| Away | 5-9 | 10-4 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.7 | 74.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.8 | 61.1 |
| Massey | -4.4 (#246) | 7.1 (#81) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.97 (#257) | 1.16 (#89) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.42 (#273) | 1.62 (#79) |
| RPI | 0.477 (#218) | 0.574 (#56) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNH | UVM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 49.3% |
| 3PT% | 36.4% | 37.0% |
| REB / G | 35.5 | 33.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 6.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.22 | 1.46 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.5% | 57.3% |
| TOV% | 15.0% | 15.3% |
| ORB% | 29.9% | 22.3% |
| FT Rate | 16.9% | 21.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.0% | 49.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.3% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 76.5% | 80.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.5% | 15.6% |
Game Analysis
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