Betting Lines
| Spread | BOIS -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 121.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BOIS +26 | 144 | Lost |
| Massey | BOIS -11.7 (-14.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 115.7 (+28.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 15% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 9% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BOIS -14.5 (-11.5) | 125.3 (+18.7) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BOIS -12.3 (-13.7) | 126.0 (+18.0) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BOIS -12.3 (-13.7) | 128.4 (+15.6) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BOIS -12.7 (-13.3) | 127.2 (+16.8) | 14% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | BOIS 96 – 54 AF |
| Mar 5, 2025 | BOIS 80 – 57 AF |
| Dec 21, 2024 | BOIS 77 – 59 AF |
| Feb 28, 2024 | BOIS 79 – 48 AF |
| Feb 3, 2024 | BOIS 94 – 56 AF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AF | BOIS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-18 | 27-8 |
| Conference | 4-13 | 15-3 |
| Home | 7-6 | 13-3 |
| Away | 2-11 | 9-3 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 59.0 | 67.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.0 | 61.0 |
| Massey | -4.2 (#242) | 10.4 (#45) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.09 (#183) | 2.17 (#34) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.37 (#201) | 2.54 (#38) |
| RPI | 0.474 (#222) | 0.589 (#45) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AF | BOIS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.2% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.4% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 26.8 | 36.2 |
| OREB / G | 5.7 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.0% | 49.3% |
| TOV% | 22.0% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 19.4% | 31.8% |
| FT Rate | 17.6% | 21.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.3% | 47.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.8% | 20.1% |
| DRB% | 70.7% | 79.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.1% | 19.5% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.