Betting Lines
| Spread | CONN -6.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CONN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CONN +5 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | CONN -6.0 (-1.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.7 (-8.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CONN -6.2 (-1.2) | 142.5 (-7.5) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CONN -5.5 (-0.5) | 142.8 (-7.8) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CONN -5.3 (-0.3) | 141.9 (-6.9) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CONN -5.3 (-0.3) | 144.6 (-9.6) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | CONN 71 – 67 HALL |
| Jan 14, 2026 | CONN 69 – 64 HALL |
| Mar 8, 2025 | CONN 81 – 50 HALL |
| Feb 15, 2025 | HALL 69 – 68 CONN |
| Mar 3, 2024 | CONN 91 – 61 HALL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CONN | HALL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-10 | 21-11 |
| Conference | 13-6 | 11-8 |
| Home | 14-2 | 13-3 |
| Away | 5-5 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.8 | 70.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.3 | 66.4 |
| Massey | 15.3 (#17) | 12.2 (#26) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.62 (#22) | 2.30 (#31) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.32 (#19) | 2.78 (#32) |
| RPI | 0.593 (#39) | 0.584 (#48) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CONN | HALL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 41.7% |
| 3PT% | 35.2% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 41.5 | 39.5 |
| OREB / G | 14.2 | 12.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.16 | 0.80 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.5% | 47.6% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 37.8% | 33.3% |
| FT Rate | 24.3% | 26.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.7% | 45.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.1% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 71.7% | 72.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.0% | 21.4% |
Game Analysis
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