Betting Lines
| Spread | MORE -10.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MORE +8 | 128 | Lost |
| Massey | MORE -8.9 (+0.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.1 (-7.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 6% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 3% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MORE -7.9 (-0.1) | 133.7 (-5.7) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MORE -8.8 (+0.8) | 137.1 (-9.1) | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MORE -7.9 (-0.1) | 138.0 (-10.0) | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MORE -8.2 (+0.2) | 136.2 (-8.2) | 20% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | MORE 61 – 55 UTM |
| Jan 9, 2026 | UTM 76 – 68 MORE |
| Mar 1, 2025 | MORE 59 – 47 UTM |
| Dec 20, 2024 | MORE 70 – 69 UTM |
| Mar 9, 2024 | MORE 84 – 78 UTM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTM | MORE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-22 | 23-11 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 13-5 |
| Home | 5-8 | 12-2 |
| Away | 2-13 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L7 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.8 | 68.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.9 | 64.4 |
| Massey | -8.8 (#309) | 3.0 (#123) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.11 (#326) | 1.11 (#93) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.53 (#330) | 1.35 (#95) |
| RPI | 0.427 (#310) | 0.542 (#99) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTM | MORE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.8% | 45.6% |
| 3PT% | 28.6% | 36.8% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.75 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.1% | 52.9% |
| TOV% | 20.3% | 21.3% |
| ORB% | 30.6% | 30.1% |
| FT Rate | 19.1% | 20.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.5% | 46.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.3% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 67.5% | 70.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.6% | 15.1% |
Game Analysis
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