Betting Lines
| Spread | SEA -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RGV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SEA +40 | 164 | Lost |
| Massey | SEA -6.2 (-33.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.6 (+10.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 10% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 7% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SEA -5.2 (-34.8) | 153.8 (+10.2) | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SEA -6.5 (-33.5) | 150.3 (+13.7) | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SEA -5.9 (-34.1) | 151.4 (+12.6) | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SEA -6.5 (-33.5) | 153.6 (+10.4) | 24% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 24, 2024 | SEA 84 – 56 RGV |
| Jan 12, 2024 | RGV 81 – 80 SEA |
| Jan 6, 2023 | SEA 66 – 64 RGV |
| Feb 11, 2022 | SEA 67 – 59 RGV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RGV | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-23 | 23-9 |
| Conference | 3-15 | 14-4 |
| Home | 4-9 | 17-2 |
| Away | 3-12 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.8 | 73.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.7 | 67.5 |
| Massey | -6.5 (#275) | 2.7 (#128) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.80 (#311) | 0.93 (#103) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.06 (#305) | 1.00 (#110) |
| RPI | 0.441 (#286) | 0.527 (#124) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RGV | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.6% | 41.5% |
| 3PT% | 31.8% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 34.1 | 36.6 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.80 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.6% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 20.8% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 24.5% | 26.1% |
| FT Rate | 27.9% | 22.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.0% | 46.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 21.3% |
| DRB% | 65.9% | 74.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.2% | 28.5% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.