I'm gonna tell you how it's gonna be. "Not Fade Away"-The Rolling Stones
Southern Conference · Ramsey Center · February 17, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread FUR -13.0 Away covered
O/U 140.5 Over
Model Predictions
Spread Total WCU win
Actual FUR +18 188 Lost
Massey FUR -12.5 (-5.5) — —
Massey Totals — 147.6 (+40.4) —
Bradley-Terry — — 23% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 16% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ FUR -11.7 (-6.3) 149.9 (+38.1) 18% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML FUR -11.3 (-6.7) 145.0 (+43.0) 16% ✓
Baseline ML FUR -11.2 (-6.8) 145.3 (+42.7) 16% ✓
Baseline Plus ML FUR -11.2 (-6.8) 145.7 (+42.3) 16% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 28, 2026 WCU 86 – 67 FUR
Jan 3, 2026 WCU 80 – 77 FUR
Feb 6, 2025 FUR 84 – 75 WCU
Jan 1, 2025 FUR 90 – 61 WCU
Mar 10, 2024 FUR 79 – 76 WCU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings WCU FUR
Overall 11-21 22-12
Conference 5-13 12-6
Home 8-5 12-3
Away 2-14 8-8
Neutral 1-2 2-1
Last 5 1-4 2-3
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 69.6 76.4
Avg Pts Against 78.2 68.8
Massey -8.1 (#299) 7.3 (#76)
Bradley-Terry -0.83 (#244) 0.88 (#109)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.09 (#249) 1.14 (#102)
RPI 0.448 (#271) 0.551 (#85)
Shooting & Four Factors WCU FUR
FG% 39.0% 45.4%
3PT% 31.0% 37.6%
REB / G 37.5 33.4
OREB / G 11.3 9.1
AST / TO 0.97 1.52
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 47.2% 55.0%
TOV% 18.2% 16.4%
ORB% 28.4% 26.7%
FT Rate 19.1% 17.1%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 53.0% 50.7%
Opp TOV% 14.3% 19.3%
DRB% 72.5% 72.0%
Opp FT Rate 19.9% 16.9%

Game Analysis

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