Betting Lines
| Spread | LSU -17.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LSU +19 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | LSU -21.0 (-2.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.1 (+7.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LSU -15.5 (+3.5) | 145.0 (+4.0) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LSU -17.4 (+1.6) | 146.2 (+2.8) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LSU -17.9 (+1.1) | 147.0 (+2.0) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LSU -17.3 (+1.7) | 146.8 (+2.2) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | UGA 83 – 71 LSU |
| Feb 6, 2025 | UGA 81 – 62 LSU |
| Feb 28, 2024 | LSU 67 – 66 UGA |
| Jan 24, 2024 | UGA 68 – 66 LSU |
| Mar 9, 2023 | LSU 72 – 67 UGA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LSU | UGA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 6-26 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 1-17 |
| Home | 15-2 | 6-13 |
| Away | 3-8 | 0-10 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L12 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.6 | 69.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.4 | 78.5 |
| Massey | 16.9 (#12) | -1.2 (#186) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.50 (#26) | -0.69 (#236) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.06 (#23) | -0.77 (#231) |
| RPI | 0.622 (#16) | 0.456 (#247) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LSU | UGA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.8% | 31.4% |
| REB / G | 38.6 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.6% | 49.7% |
| TOV% | 21.0% | 20.3% |
| ORB% | 33.9% | 26.8% |
| FT Rate | 22.9% | 29.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.0% | 53.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 25.1% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 70.2% | 70.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.6% | 17.0% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.