Betting Lines
| Spread | BELL -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CARK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BELL +10 | 148 | Lost |
| Massey | BELL -7.3 (-2.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.5 (-2.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 34% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 32% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BELL -6.9 (-3.1) | 145.4 (+2.6) | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BELL -5.0 (-5.0) | 148.5 (-0.5) | 28% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BELL -4.6 (-5.4) | 150.2 (-2.2) | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BELL -5.4 (-4.6) | 146.9 (+1.1) | 24% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | CARK 86 – 73 BELL |
| Feb 12, 2026 | CARK 84 – 76 BELL |
| Jan 9, 2026 | BELL 84 – 78 CARK |
| Jan 4, 2025 | CARK 71 – 65 BELL |
| Feb 22, 2024 | BELL 68 – 65 CARK |
Game Analysis
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