Betting Lines
| Spread | WOF -5.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CIT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WOF +7 | 123 | Lost |
| Massey | WOF -5.2 (-1.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.6 (-28.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 43% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 36% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WOF -4.2 (-2.8) | 148.6 (-25.6) | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WOF -3.5 (-3.5) | 150.8 (-27.8) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WOF -3.7 (-3.3) | 150.5 (-27.5) | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WOF -4.4 (-2.6) | 149.3 (-26.3) | 29% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | CIT 93 – 90 WOF |
| Jan 3, 2026 | WOF 95 – 86 CIT |
| Feb 13, 2025 | WOF 74 – 71 CIT |
| Jan 23, 2025 | WOF 79 – 68 CIT |
| Feb 11, 2024 | WOF 77 – 64 CIT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CIT | WOF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-18 | 19-13 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 10-8 |
| Home | 7-8 | 11-4 |
| Away | 5-9 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.9 | 70.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.7 | 66.7 |
| Massey | -4.4 (#247) | 3.6 (#113) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.45 (#214) | 0.32 (#148) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.71 (#223) | 0.43 (#145) |
| RPI | 0.482 (#207) | 0.500 (#175) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CIT | WOF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 45.0% |
| 3PT% | 35.1% | 35.0% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 30.6 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 8.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.20 | 1.15 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.1% | 53.8% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 23.9% | 27.6% |
| FT Rate | 20.3% | 21.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.6% | 53.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.2% | 19.9% |
| DRB% | 70.3% | 77.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.9% | 20.3% |
Game Analysis
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