Betting Lines
| Spread | JAX -2.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 127.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STET win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JAX +22 | 112 | Lost |
| Massey | JAX -3.2 (-18.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 122.0 (-10.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 32% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 29% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JAX -1.9 (-20.1) | 128.3 (-16.3) | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JAX -1.8 (-20.2) | 133.5 (-21.5) | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | JAX -2.3 (-19.7) | 133.0 (-21.0) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JAX -2.5 (-19.5) | 129.0 (-17.0) | 32% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | JAX 89 – 85 STET |
| Feb 12, 2026 | STET 67 – 62 JAX |
| Feb 27, 2025 | JAX 79 – 72 STET |
| Feb 7, 2025 | JAX 74 – 65 STET |
| Mar 8, 2024 | STET 88 – 87 JAX |
Game Analysis
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