What ever happened to Leon Trotsky? "No More Heroes" - The Stranglers
Baptist Health Arena · February 17, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread EKU -6.0 Away covered
O/U 144.5 Over
Model Predictions
Spread Total EKU win
Actual EKU +4 156 Won
Massey EKU -6.7 (-2.7) — —
Massey Totals — 144.3 (+11.7) —
Bradley-Terry — — 69% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 70% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ EKU -6.9 (-2.9) 147.7 (+8.3) 73% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML EKU -4.6 (-0.6) 145.5 (+10.5) 67% ✓
Baseline ML EKU -5.1 (-1.1) 146.8 (+9.2) 71% ✓
Baseline Plus ML EKU -4.7 (-0.7) 148.8 (+7.2) 73% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 15, 2026 UNA 84 – 78 EKU
Jan 9, 2026 EKU 88 – 80 UNA
Jan 4, 2025 UNA 88 – 67 EKU
Feb 23, 2024 EKU 75 – 72 UNA
Jan 14, 2024 EKU 81 – 72 UNA

Game Analysis

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