Betting Lines
| Spread | GCU -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CBU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GCU +5 | 125 | Lost |
| Massey | GCU -4.7 (-0.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.9 (-8.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 24% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 18% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GCU -4.2 (-0.8) | 135.5 (-10.5) | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GCU -3.7 (-1.3) | 136.1 (-11.1) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GCU -4.2 (-0.8) | 135.6 (-10.6) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GCU -3.6 (-1.4) | 137.6 (-12.6) | 39% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 15, 2025 | GCU 75 – 66 CBU |
| Feb 23, 2025 | GCU 66 – 64 CBU |
| Feb 9, 2025 | CBU 85 – 71 GCU |
| Mar 10, 2024 | GCU 68 – 47 CBU |
| Feb 18, 2024 | GCU 79 – 76 CBU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CBU | GCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-16 | 23-8 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 13-5 |
| Home | 14-5 | 15-2 |
| Away | 3-9 | 7-5 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.8 | 70.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.0 | 62.0 |
| Massey | -2.1 (#212) | 5.5 (#99) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.57 (#226) | 1.07 (#95) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.80 (#233) | 1.30 (#98) |
| RPI | 0.456 (#246) | 0.538 (#108) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CBU | GCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 32.7% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 36.4 | 40.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 13.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.8% | 49.5% |
| TOV% | 20.5% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 29.2% | 36.1% |
| FT Rate | 26.8% | 19.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.4% | 43.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 72.2% | 71.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.9% | 23.0% |
Game Analysis
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