Betting Lines
| Spread | UVU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 127.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TAR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UVU +13 | 125 | Lost |
| Massey | UVU -2.0 (-11.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 127.8 (-2.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 31% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 33% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UVU -2.5 (-10.5) | 130.5 (-5.5) | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UVU -1.2 (-11.8) | 132.9 (-7.9) | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UVU -1.3 (-11.7) | 134.0 (-9.0) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UVU -1.9 (-11.1) | 132.1 (-7.1) | 45% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | UVU 79 – 72 TAR |
| Jan 30, 2026 | UVU 83 – 55 TAR |
| Jan 2, 2026 | UVU 91 – 85 TAR |
| Mar 9, 2025 | UVU 71 – 66 TAR |
| Feb 8, 2025 | UVU 81 – 56 TAR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TAR | UVU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-17 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 10-8 |
| Home | 10-5 | 11-2 |
| Away | 4-12 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.1 | 69.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.8 | 65.7 |
| Massey | -1.3 (#190) | 3.6 (#114) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.43 (#213) | 0.88 (#110) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.20 (#195) | 1.07 (#106) |
| RPI | 0.490 (#190) | 0.547 (#90) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TAR | UVU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.3% | 45.9% |
| 3PT% | 30.4% | 38.2% |
| REB / G | 29.9 | 39.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.9% | 51.5% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 21.8% |
| ORB% | 26.7% | 32.5% |
| FT Rate | 24.1% | 26.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.8% | 46.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.4% | 16.2% |
| DRB% | 66.7% | 74.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.3% | 19.3% |
Game Analysis
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