Betting Lines
| Spread | GWEB -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GWEB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WIN +11 | 151 | Lost |
| Massey | GWEB -5.1 (-16.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.5 (+12.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 48% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 54% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GWEB -3.1 (-14.1) | 136.6 (+14.4) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GWEB -5.4 (-16.4) | 136.7 (+14.3) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | GWEB -4.7 (-15.7) | 137.7 (+13.3) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GWEB -4.9 (-15.9) | 137.0 (+14.0) | 67% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 13, 2026 | WIN 103 – 85 GWEB |
| Jan 3, 2026 | WIN 88 – 77 GWEB |
| Feb 1, 2025 | WIN 96 – 93 GWEB |
| Jan 9, 2025 | GWEB 89 – 83 WIN |
| Mar 2, 2024 | GWEB 65 – 64 WIN |
Game Analysis
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