Betting Lines
| Spread | UNCA -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CHSO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNCA +19 | 151 | Lost |
| Massey | UNCA -9.9 (-9.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.1 (+10.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 13% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 8% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNCA -7.0 (-12.0) | 143.0 (+8.0) | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNCA -7.5 (-11.5) | 138.2 (+12.8) | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNCA -7.1 (-11.9) | 139.4 (+11.6) | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNCA -7.3 (-11.7) | 139.6 (+11.4) | 21% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | CHSO 92 – 75 UNCA |
| Jan 3, 2026 | CHSO 86 – 83 UNCA |
| Mar 7, 2025 | UNCA 80 – 60 CHSO |
| Feb 15, 2025 | UNCA 75 – 72 CHSO |
| Jan 25, 2025 | UNCA 69 – 61 CHSO |
Game Analysis
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