Everybody know I'm a motherfucking monster. "Monster" - Kanye West
← All models

Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

← Prev day Next day →
23–14 on winners spread MAE 8.8 37 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Wake Forest @ Duke +10.2 149.3 83% 74–76 ✓
Texas @ Oklahoma +0.6 129.7 51% 80–78 ✗
Merrimack @ Sacred Heart +0.1 134.9 49% 70–63 ✗
Memphis @ Cincinnati -0.4 140.1 48% 81–74 ✓
Iona @ Saint Peter's -2.3 136.4 36% 70–61 ✓
Hofstra @ Elon -5.7 145.6 26% 97–64 ✓
Tulane @ South Florida -3.7 132.3 34% 76–57 ✓
Clemson @ Florida State +2.7 143.3 63% 80–81 ✓
Liberty @ North Florida -5.5 139.7 25% 69–72 ✗
VCU @ Fordham -4.7 129.8 27% 66–61 ✓
Northern Illinois @ Ball State +5.4 147.0 73% 64–58 ✗
Eastern Michigan @ Central Michigan -1.0 147.2 43% 75–70 ✓
Miami (OH) @ Ohio +11.9 144.7 88% 78–91 ✓
Buffalo @ Bowling Green -4.9 160.7 32% 112–85 ✓
South Carolina @ Ole Miss +3.2 139.8 65% 77–74 ✗
Florida @ Texas A&M +1.4 137.5 57% 55–56 ✓
Villanova @ Providence -0.0 134.8 47% 89–84 ✓
NC State @ Georgia Tech +2.0 143.8 60% 76–61 ✗
Northern Iowa @ Illinois State -2.1 149.8 41% 72–70 ✓
Bradley @ Southern Illinois -2.0 128.8 43% 57–65 ✗
Indiana State @ Missouri State +12.5 143.3 88% 70–79 ✓
Minnesota @ Ohio State +10.4 141.4 84% 45–70 ✓
Kentucky @ Tennessee +1.6 142.8 55% 63–76 ✓
Wisconsin @ Indiana +2.7 133.2 61% 74–69 ✗
Wyoming @ New Mexico -6.6 154.7 25% 66–75 ✗
Arkansas @ Missouri -6.9 142.8 25% 76–57 ✓
Colorado @ Oregon State -5.1 138.6 26% 90–64 ✓
Butler @ DePaul +5.6 133.8 70% 73–71 ✗
Iowa State @ TCU +3.0 132.2 65% 54–51 ✗
UC Irvine @ UC San Diego -4.2 134.5 30% 56–50 ✓
Utah State @ San Diego State +3.9 130.4 69% 56–75 ✓
San José State @ Nevada +9.9 141.8 85% 72–81 ✓
Manhattan @ Fairfield +4.9 140.7 71% 74–67 ✗
Colgate @ Army -4.1 141.6 31% 100–90 ✓
Presbyterian @ South Carolina Upstate +2.2 142.2 61% 55–60 ✓
St. John's @ Xavier +8.5 151.8 79% 86–73 ✗
Campbell @ Radford -2.4 128.0 39% 67–71 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.