Betting Lines
| Spread | SHU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 128.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SHU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MRMK +7 | 133 | Lost |
| Massey | SHU -1.0 (-8.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.3 (+1.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 46% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 46% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SHU -0.4 (-7.4) | 133.4 (-0.4) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SHU -0.1 (-7.1) | 134.9 (-1.9) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MRMK -0.0 (-7.0) | 135.6 (-2.6) | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MRMK -0.2 (-6.8) | 132.6 (+0.4) | 44% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | MRMK 70 – 48 SHU |
| Feb 1, 2026 | MRMK 75 – 58 SHU |
| Dec 29, 2025 | MRMK 80 – 72 SHU |
| Mar 13, 2025 | MRMK 66 – 62 SHU |
| Feb 22, 2025 | SHU 60 – 59 MRMK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SHU | MRMK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-20 | 14-16 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 10-8 |
| Home | 6-7 | 7-7 |
| Away | 4-15 | 8-9 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | W2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.4 | 58.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.0 | 62.8 |
| Massey | -10.7 (#324) | -8.8 (#308) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.25 (#337) | -1.57 (#297) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.75 (#335) | -2.02 (#302) |
| RPI | 0.401 (#332) | 0.451 (#263) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SHU | MRMK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 40.4% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 32.1% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 28.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 7.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.1% | 46.7% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 30.4% | 22.4% |
| FT Rate | 18.2% | 18.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.5% | 49.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 22.6% |
| DRB% | 68.5% | 63.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.6% | 25.3% |
Game Analysis
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